Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 9:50 AM, 84 voters in 20 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 103,757 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 72,058 - 138,305). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 9:50 AM | 1439 |
c(2.5% = 1086)
|
c(97.5% = 1874)
|
| 02 | 9:50 AM | 2357 |
c(2.5% = 1721)
|
c(97.5% = 3029)
|
| 03 | 9:50 AM | 1355 |
c(2.5% = 920)
|
c(97.5% = 1933)
|
| 04 | 9:50 AM | 1358 |
c(2.5% = 921)
|
c(97.5% = 2002)
|
| 05 | 9:50 AM | 3306 |
c(2.5% = 2398)
|
c(97.5% = 4285)
|
| 06 | 9:50 AM | 920 |
c(2.5% = 651)
|
c(97.5% = 1305)
|
| 07 | 9:50 AM | 859 |
c(2.5% = 463)
|
c(97.5% = 1968)
|
| 08 | 9:50 AM | 3227 |
c(2.5% = 2359)
|
c(97.5% = 4248)
|
| 09 | 9:50 AM | 1604 |
c(2.5% = 1249)
|
c(97.5% = 2020)
|
| 10 | 9:50 AM | 1998 |
c(2.5% = 1398)
|
c(97.5% = 2938)
|
| 11 | 9:50 AM | 868 |
c(2.5% = 579)
|
c(97.5% = 1330)
|
| 12 | 9:50 AM | 1495 |
c(2.5% = 1032)
|
c(97.5% = 2161)
|
| 13 | 9:50 AM | 1348 |
c(2.5% = 918)
|
c(97.5% = 1982)
|
| 14 | 9:50 AM | 589 |
c(2.5% = 418)
|
c(97.5% = 826)
|
| 15 | 9:50 AM | 1696 |
c(2.5% = 1273)
|
c(97.5% = 2217)
|
| 16 | 9:50 AM | 721 |
c(2.5% = 472)
|
c(97.5% = 1160)
|
| 17 | 9:50 AM | 1647 |
c(2.5% = 1132)
|
c(97.5% = 2382)
|
| 18 | 9:50 AM | 1368 |
c(2.5% = 944)
|
c(97.5% = 1739)
|
| 19 | 9:50 AM | 662 |
c(2.5% = 388)
|
c(97.5% = 1332)
|
| 20 | 9:50 AM | 646 |
c(2.5% = 407)
|
c(97.5% = 1037)
|
| 21 | 9:50 AM | 3741 |
c(2.5% = 2622)
|
c(97.5% = 4783)
|
| 22 | 9:50 AM | 2125 |
c(2.5% = 1609)
|
c(97.5% = 3013)
|
| 23 | 9:50 AM | 1218 |
c(2.5% = 807)
|
c(97.5% = 1775)
|
| 24 | 9:50 AM | 1025 |
c(2.5% = 676)
|
c(97.5% = 1410)
|
| 25 | 9:50 AM | 984 |
c(2.5% = 636)
|
c(97.5% = 1409)
|
| 26 | 9:50 AM | 1392 |
c(2.5% = 987)
|
c(97.5% = 1764)
|
| 27 | 9:50 AM | 1721 |
c(2.5% = 1009)
|
c(97.5% = 2455)
|
| 28 | 9:50 AM | 771 |
c(2.5% = 503)
|
c(97.5% = 1242)
|
| 29 | 9:50 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 549)
|
c(97.5% = 1072)
|
| 30 | 9:50 AM | 1549 |
c(2.5% = 1140)
|
c(97.5% = 2150)
|
| 31 | 9:50 AM | 1263 |
c(2.5% = 873)
|
c(97.5% = 1537)
|
| 32 | 9:50 AM | 1266 |
c(2.5% = 833)
|
c(97.5% = 2014)
|
| 33 | 9:50 AM | 1006 |
c(2.5% = 556)
|
c(97.5% = 1987)
|
| 34 | 9:50 AM | 2822 |
c(2.5% = 2016)
|
c(97.5% = 3986)
|
| 35 | 9:50 AM | 1823 |
c(2.5% = 1183)
|
c(97.5% = 2703)
|
| 36 | 9:50 AM | 2269 |
c(2.5% = 1591)
|
c(97.5% = 3076)
|
| 37 | 9:50 AM | 815 |
c(2.5% = 528)
|
c(97.5% = 1351)
|
| 38 | 9:50 AM | 1398 |
c(2.5% = 996)
|
c(97.5% = 1914)
|
| 39 | 9:50 AM | 2725 |
c(2.5% = 1958)
|
c(97.5% = 3489)
|
| 40 | 9:50 AM | 2868 |
c(2.5% = 1913)
|
c(97.5% = 4071)
|
| 41 | 9:50 AM | 1107 |
c(2.5% = 730)
|
c(97.5% = 1607)
|
| 42 | 9:50 AM | 1423 |
c(2.5% = 886)
|
c(97.5% = 2388)
|
| 43 | 9:50 AM | 1110 |
c(2.5% = 640)
|
c(97.5% = 2092)
|
| 44 | 9:50 AM | 913 |
c(2.5% = 620)
|
c(97.5% = 1341)
|
| 45 | 9:50 AM | 1249 |
c(2.5% = 823)
|
c(97.5% = 1755)
|
| 46 | 9:50 AM | 1772 |
c(2.5% = 1321)
|
c(97.5% = 2514)
|
| 47 | 9:50 AM | 535 |
c(2.5% = 356)
|
c(97.5% = 771)
|
| 48 | 9:50 AM | 1277 |
c(2.5% = 856)
|
c(97.5% = 1764)
|
| 49 | 9:50 AM | 1651 |
c(2.5% = 1124)
|
c(97.5% = 2438)
|
| 50 | 9:50 AM | 2348 |
c(2.5% = 1720)
|
c(97.5% = 3508)
|
| 51 | 9:50 AM | 1483 |
c(2.5% = 1023)
|
c(97.5% = 2169)
|
| 52 | 9:50 AM | 1848 |
c(2.5% = 1340)
|
c(97.5% = 2702)
|
| 53 | 9:50 AM | 1254 |
c(2.5% = 819)
|
c(97.5% = 1845)
|
| 54 | 9:50 AM | 889 |
c(2.5% = 539)
|
c(97.5% = 1417)
|
| 55 | 9:50 AM | 1453 |
c(2.5% = 976)
|
c(97.5% = 2083)
|
| 56 | 9:50 AM | 2123 |
c(2.5% = 1457)
|
c(97.5% = 2908)
|
| 57 | 9:50 AM | 1842 |
c(2.5% = 1241)
|
c(97.5% = 2473)
|
| 58 | 9:50 AM | 3063 |
c(2.5% = 2069)
|
c(97.5% = 4120)
|
| 59 | 9:50 AM | 1592 |
c(2.5% = 1121)
|
c(97.5% = 2268)
|
| 60 | 9:50 AM | 1274 |
c(2.5% = 893)
|
c(97.5% = 1820)
|
| 61 | 9:50 AM | 1915 |
c(2.5% = 1279)
|
c(97.5% = 2785)
|
| 62 | 9:50 AM | 1345 |
c(2.5% = 860)
|
c(97.5% = 2083)
|
| 63 | 9:50 AM | 1769 |
c(2.5% = 1260)
|
c(97.5% = 2330)
|
| 64 | 9:50 AM | 994 |
c(2.5% = 679)
|
c(97.5% = 1385)
|
| 65 | 9:50 AM | 1446 |
c(2.5% = 1009)
|
c(97.5% = 1943)
|
| 66 | 9:50 AM | 3069 |
c(2.5% = 2105)
|
c(97.5% = 4100)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions