Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 9:50 AM, 84 voters in 20 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 103,757 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 72,058 - 138,305). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 9:50 AM 1439 c(2.5% = 1086) c(97.5% = 1874)
02 9:50 AM 2357 c(2.5% = 1721) c(97.5% = 3029)
03 9:50 AM 1355 c(2.5% = 920) c(97.5% = 1933)
04 9:50 AM 1358 c(2.5% = 921) c(97.5% = 2002)
05 9:50 AM 3306 c(2.5% = 2398) c(97.5% = 4285)
06 9:50 AM 920 c(2.5% = 651) c(97.5% = 1305)
07 9:50 AM 859 c(2.5% = 463) c(97.5% = 1968)
08 9:50 AM 3227 c(2.5% = 2359) c(97.5% = 4248)
09 9:50 AM 1604 c(2.5% = 1249) c(97.5% = 2020)
10 9:50 AM 1998 c(2.5% = 1398) c(97.5% = 2938)
11 9:50 AM 868 c(2.5% = 579) c(97.5% = 1330)
12 9:50 AM 1495 c(2.5% = 1032) c(97.5% = 2161)
13 9:50 AM 1348 c(2.5% = 918) c(97.5% = 1982)
14 9:50 AM 589 c(2.5% = 418) c(97.5% = 826)
15 9:50 AM 1696 c(2.5% = 1273) c(97.5% = 2217)
16 9:50 AM 721 c(2.5% = 472) c(97.5% = 1160)
17 9:50 AM 1647 c(2.5% = 1132) c(97.5% = 2382)
18 9:50 AM 1368 c(2.5% = 944) c(97.5% = 1739)
19 9:50 AM 662 c(2.5% = 388) c(97.5% = 1332)
20 9:50 AM 646 c(2.5% = 407) c(97.5% = 1037)
21 9:50 AM 3741 c(2.5% = 2622) c(97.5% = 4783)
22 9:50 AM 2125 c(2.5% = 1609) c(97.5% = 3013)
23 9:50 AM 1218 c(2.5% = 807) c(97.5% = 1775)
24 9:50 AM 1025 c(2.5% = 676) c(97.5% = 1410)
25 9:50 AM 984 c(2.5% = 636) c(97.5% = 1409)
26 9:50 AM 1392 c(2.5% = 987) c(97.5% = 1764)
27 9:50 AM 1721 c(2.5% = 1009) c(97.5% = 2455)
28 9:50 AM 771 c(2.5% = 503) c(97.5% = 1242)
29 9:50 AM 769 c(2.5% = 549) c(97.5% = 1072)
30 9:50 AM 1549 c(2.5% = 1140) c(97.5% = 2150)
31 9:50 AM 1263 c(2.5% = 873) c(97.5% = 1537)
32 9:50 AM 1266 c(2.5% = 833) c(97.5% = 2014)
33 9:50 AM 1006 c(2.5% = 556) c(97.5% = 1987)
34 9:50 AM 2822 c(2.5% = 2016) c(97.5% = 3986)
35 9:50 AM 1823 c(2.5% = 1183) c(97.5% = 2703)
36 9:50 AM 2269 c(2.5% = 1591) c(97.5% = 3076)
37 9:50 AM 815 c(2.5% = 528) c(97.5% = 1351)
38 9:50 AM 1398 c(2.5% = 996) c(97.5% = 1914)
39 9:50 AM 2725 c(2.5% = 1958) c(97.5% = 3489)
40 9:50 AM 2868 c(2.5% = 1913) c(97.5% = 4071)
41 9:50 AM 1107 c(2.5% = 730) c(97.5% = 1607)
42 9:50 AM 1423 c(2.5% = 886) c(97.5% = 2388)
43 9:50 AM 1110 c(2.5% = 640) c(97.5% = 2092)
44 9:50 AM 913 c(2.5% = 620) c(97.5% = 1341)
45 9:50 AM 1249 c(2.5% = 823) c(97.5% = 1755)
46 9:50 AM 1772 c(2.5% = 1321) c(97.5% = 2514)
47 9:50 AM 535 c(2.5% = 356) c(97.5% = 771)
48 9:50 AM 1277 c(2.5% = 856) c(97.5% = 1764)
49 9:50 AM 1651 c(2.5% = 1124) c(97.5% = 2438)
50 9:50 AM 2348 c(2.5% = 1720) c(97.5% = 3508)
51 9:50 AM 1483 c(2.5% = 1023) c(97.5% = 2169)
52 9:50 AM 1848 c(2.5% = 1340) c(97.5% = 2702)
53 9:50 AM 1254 c(2.5% = 819) c(97.5% = 1845)
54 9:50 AM 889 c(2.5% = 539) c(97.5% = 1417)
55 9:50 AM 1453 c(2.5% = 976) c(97.5% = 2083)
56 9:50 AM 2123 c(2.5% = 1457) c(97.5% = 2908)
57 9:50 AM 1842 c(2.5% = 1241) c(97.5% = 2473)
58 9:50 AM 3063 c(2.5% = 2069) c(97.5% = 4120)
59 9:50 AM 1592 c(2.5% = 1121) c(97.5% = 2268)
60 9:50 AM 1274 c(2.5% = 893) c(97.5% = 1820)
61 9:50 AM 1915 c(2.5% = 1279) c(97.5% = 2785)
62 9:50 AM 1345 c(2.5% = 860) c(97.5% = 2083)
63 9:50 AM 1769 c(2.5% = 1260) c(97.5% = 2330)
64 9:50 AM 994 c(2.5% = 679) c(97.5% = 1385)
65 9:50 AM 1446 c(2.5% = 1009) c(97.5% = 1943)
66 9:50 AM 3069 c(2.5% = 2105) c(97.5% = 4100)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions